Plan Bay Area 2040 Draft Plan

Draft Plan Bay Area 2040

What is Plan Bay Area 2040?

The Draft Environmental Impact Report (DEIR) is now available; comment on the DEIR and the Draft Plan through June 1.

What is Plan Bay Area 2040?

Plan Bay Area 2040 is a transportation and land use roadmap for future growth.

Plan Bay Area 2040 is a state-mandated, integrated long-range transportation and land use plan. As required by Senate Bill 375, all metropolitan regions in California must complete a Sustainable Communities Strategy (SCS) as part of a Regional Transportation Plan. In the Bay Area, the Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC) and the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) are jointly responsible for developing and adopting a SCS that integrates transportation, land use and housing to meet greenhouse gas reduction targets set by the California Air Resources Board (CARB).

Pedestrians in San Jose.
Credit: Martin Klimek

The region adopted its previous plan — Plan Bay Area — in July 2013. As the Bay Area’s first regional transportation plan to include a Sustainable Communities Strategy, the original Plan Bay Area charted a course for reducing per-capita greenhouse gas emissions through the promotion of more compact, mixed-use residential and commercial neighborhoods near transit. Plan Bay Area supported Priority Development Areas (PDAs) selected and approved by city and county governments with planning grants, technical assistance, and prioritization for regional and state transportation and affordable housing funds.

Plan Bay Area 2040 is a limited and focused update that builds upon the growth pattern and strategies developed in the original Plan Bay Area but with updated planning assumptions that incorporate key economic, demographic and financial trends from the last four years.

MTC and ABAG

 

The Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC) is the transportation planning, financing and coordinating agency for the nine-county San Francisco Bay Area. MTC is the federally designated Metropolitan Planning Organization and the state designated Regional Transportation Planning Agency for the region. MTC is responsible for preparing and updating a long-range regional transportation plan every four years that identifies the strategies and investments needed to maintain, manage and improve the region’s transportation network.

 

The Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) serves as the Council of Governments for the region. As required by state law, ABAG updates the Regional Housing Need Allocation (RHNA) every eight years, allocates specific housing targets to individual cities and counties, and develops the regional forecast of jobs, population and housing. MTC and ABAG are currently in the process of merging their staffs to more effectively and efficiently develop an integrated long-range transportation and land use plan.

Development in Vacaville, Solano County
Credit: Karl Nielsen

What Does Plan Bay Area 2040 Do?

Plan Bay Area 2040 provides a roadmap for accommodating projected household and employment growth in the nine-county Bay Area by 2040 as well as a transportation investment strategy for the region. Plan Bay Area 2040 details how the Bay Area can make progress toward the region’s long-range transportation and land use goals.

Plan Bay Area 2040:

  • Describes where and how the region can accommodate 820,000 new projected households and 1.3 million new jobs between now and 2040;

  • Details a regional transportation investment strategy given $303 billion in expected revenues from federal, state, regional and local sources over the next 24 years;

  • Complies with Senate Bill 375, the state’s sustainable communities strategy law, which integrates land use and transportation planning and mandates both a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from passenger vehicles and the provision of adequate housing for the region’s 24- year projected population growth.

Transit-oriented development in West Oakland allows residents to travel to San Francisco and other nearby cities easily.
Credit: Karl Nielsen

Plan Bay Area 2040 encompasses the entire Bay Area, including the nine counties and the 101 cities and towns that make up the region. The plan is constrained by the amount of expected transportation revenues and expected household and employment growth.

Plan Bay Area 2040 neither funds specific transportation projects nor changes local land use policies. Importantly, individual jurisdictions retain all local land use authority. But Plan Bay Area 2040 does set a roadmap for future transportation investments and identify what it would take to accommodate expected growth.

Engaging the Public

Developing a multi-billion dollar plan for the region is no simple task. It is a multi-year process involving four regional agencies, nine counties, 101 towns and cities, elected officials, transit operators, planners, community-based organizations, business organizations, non-profits and the general public.

Despite this complexity, public participation is critical to an open process in which all interested residents have the opportunity to provide input and share their vision for what the Bay Area will look like decades from now. Highlights from Plan Bay Area 2040’s public participation process through 2016 included nearly 120 public meetings plus 18 open houses (two in each of the nine Bay Area counties); partnerships with five community organizations working in low- income communities and communities of color; a robust online presence; numerous meetings with local elected officials, planning directors, and transportation officials; a summit with Native American tribal leaders; a housing forum; and a telephone poll of some 2,040 Bay Area residents.

Additional public engagement opportunities beginning in spring 2017 will inform adoption of Plan Bay Area 2040 in July 2017.

For more information on Plan Bay Area 2040’s outreach and engagement process, please see the Public Outreach and Public Participation Report and the Native American Tribal Consultation Report.

Setting Goals and Targets to Address Challenges

After receiving feedback from stakeholders and the public, MTC and the ABAG Executive Board established seven goals and 13 performance targets to measure Plan Bay Area 2040’s effectiveness in addressing the major challenges facing the region.

Senate Bill 375 mandates two of these targets. First, Plan Bay Area 2040 must address climate change by reducing per-capita CO2 emissions from cars and light-duty trucks. Second, Plan Bay Area 2040 must include sufficient housing for all of the region’s projected population growth, regardless of income.

TABLE 2.1 Final adopted goals and performance targets for Plan Bay Area 2040.
Plan Bay Area 2040 includes seven goals and 13 performance targets covering three broad areas: the environment, equity and the economy. The aggressive and somewhat aspirational targets enable the plan to be evaluated by its performance in areas identified as key regional concerns, including equitable access, economic vitality, and transportation system effectiveness. The performance targets were the result of a robust public process and reflect MTC and ABAG’s commitment to go beyond Plan Bay Area 2040’s legal requirements.
Source: Metropolitan Transportation Commission - Resolution No. 4204, Revised, 2015

MTC and the ABAG Executive Board voluntarily adopted 11 additional targets as shown in Table 2.1. Key goals for Plan Bay Area 2040 included tackling the Bay Area’s inequities through improved affordability and lessened displacement risk, ensuring a robust economy and protecting the environment for future generations. These targets are aggressive and some are quite aspirational. Yet they reflect MTC and ABAG’s commitment to take a more holistic view of the possibilities of integrated regional planning by going beyond the plan’s legal requirements.

For more information on the development of Plan Bay Area 2040’s performance targets, please see the Performance Assessment Report.

The next section, “Forecasting the Future,” will review the primary inputs to Plan Bay Area 2040.

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